Thursday, May 30, 2013

Color Blind or Color Conscious?
Coates at The Atlantic is again thought-provoking.

The New York Times has a story up outlining the effects of the Supreme Court ruling on the Affordable Care Act in general, and the Medicaid expansion in particular:
Starting next month, the administration and its allies will conduct a nationwide campaign encouraging Americans to take advantage of new high-quality affordable insurance options. But those options will be unavailable to some of the neediest people in states like Texas, Florida, Kansas, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and Georgia, which are refusing to expand Medicaid. 

More than half of all people without health insurance live in states that are not planning to expand Medicaid. People in those states who have incomes from the poverty level up to four times that amount ($11,490 to $45,960 a year for an individual) can get federal tax credits to subsidize the purchase of private health insurance. But many people below the poverty line will be unable to get tax credits, Medicaid or other help with health insurance.
I want to preface what I am about to say by pointing out the obvious -- the ACA is a great thing. I suspect it will go down as the president's greatest achievement and probably the best thing he's done to fight income inequality. 

With that said, if you look at a map of which states are refusing the Medicaid expansion, and then look at this report from the Urban Institute, a troubling (if predictable) trend emerges. Approximately a fifth (about 18 percent) of all people who will remain untouched by the Medicaid expansion are black. When you start drilling down to the states where those black people tend to live, it gets worse. In Virginia and North Carolina, 30 percent of those who are going to miss out are black. In South Carolina and Georgia, the number is around 40 percent. In Louisiana and Mississippi, you are talking about 50 percent of those who would be eligible for the expansion but who will go uncovered.

You look at Latinos and get a similar (and to some extent worse) picture. Nationally, Latinos make up 18 percent of those who stand to get health coverage. But in Arizona -- where the legislature is fighting Jan Brewer's effort to expand Medicaid -- Latinos make up 34 percent of those who stand to gain coverage. In Florida, they make up 27 percent, and in Texas they make up 47 percent. Texas has the highest rate of uninsured in the country. The majority of people there who are going to miss out on care -- over 60 percent -- are black and Latino.

This is one reason why color-blind -- "lift all boats" -- policy so often falls short. When you have a country grappling with the deep vestiges of bigoted policy, you do not need "colored only" signs to get "colored mostly" effects. 

This got me to thinking...

On your point about the weakness of color-blind policy, I could use your help. Michelle Alexander also makes the argument for color consciousness in New Jim Crow, noting that “seeing race is not the problem. Refusing to care for the people we see is the problem.”  She wants us to reject color blindness as an aspiration, because “saying that one does not care about race is offered as an exculpatory virtue, when in fact is can be a form of cruelty [when] our blindness prevents us from seeing the racial and structural divisions that persist in society.” I agree, but wonder if this is relevant to the implementation of the ACA struggle today.  Is the problem we are seeing today rooted in the fact that the ACA is a color-blind approach to reduce inequality (and the harms associated with
racism)?
As you note, the ACA will likely be remembered as Obama’s greatest contribution to reducing poverty and inequality in the US, despite the fact that it is also flawed because the president had to compromise if he wanted to get anything passed. Can we fault the ACA for the fact that racism (and other factors) negatively impact its implementation. Was Brown v Board of Education a mistake because southern states resisted implementing it? Was the Voting Rights Act?

Finally, if we try to imagine what a color conscious ACA might have looked like, nothing comes to mind, since a universal payer approach would also have been a color-blind approach…and might have also faced stiff resistance at the state level during implementation. I suppose a color conscious version of ACA might have included very strict regulations against racially disparate impact in implementation, but this assumes we can predict the future and identify all forms resistance will take and pre-empt them. What am I missing in your argument about color-blind policy in this case?

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Reframe Conflicts with Questions: Tell me all that you know about this
Cass Sunstein's commentary today is well worth reading (in italics, in its entirety):

There is no standard definition of the all-important term “wing nut,” so let’s provide one. A wing nut is someone who has a dogmatic commitment to an extreme political view (“wing”) that is false and at least a bit crazy (“nut”).

A wing nut might believe that George W. Bush is a fascist, that Barack Obama is a socialist, that big banks run the Department of the Treasury or that the U.S. intervened in Libya because of oil.

When wing nuts encounter people with whom they disagree, they immediately impugn their opponents’ motivations. Whatever their religion, they are devout Manicheans, dividing their fellow citizens into the forces of light and the forces of darkness.

Wing nuts have a lot of fellow travelers — people who don’t fit the definition, yet who are similarly dogmatic and whose views, though not really crazy, aren’t exactly evidence-based. You can be a wing nut on a particular issue without being a wing nut in general. Most human beings can hear the voice, at least on occasion, of their inner wing nut.

The good news is that wing nuts usually don’t matter. The bad news is that they influence people who do. Sadly, more information often fails to correct people’s misunderstandings. In fact, it can backfire and entrench them. Can anything be done?

For a positive answer, consider an intriguing study by Philip Fernbach, a University of Colorado business school professor, and his colleagues. Their central finding is that if you ask people to explain exactly why they think as they do, they discover how much they don’t know — and they become more humble and therefore more moderate.

The study came in four stages. First, people were asked to state their positions on a series of political issues, including a cap-and-trade system for carbon emissions, a national flat tax, merit-based pay for teachers and unilateral sanctions on Iran for its nuclear program. They were asked to describe their position on a seven-point scale whose endpoints were “strongly in favor” and “strongly opposed.”

Second, people were asked to rate their degree of understanding of each issue on a seven-point scale. The third step was the crucial one; they were asked to “describe all the details you know about for example, the impact of instituting a ‘cap and trade’ system for carbon emissions, going from the first step to the last, and providing the causal connection between the steps.” Fourth, people were asked to re-rate their understanding on the seven-point scale and to restate their position on the relevant issue.

The results were stunning. On every issue, the result of requesting an explanation was to persuade people to give a lower rating of their own understanding — and to offer a more moderate view on each issue. In a follow-up experiment, Fernbach and his co-authors found that after being asked to explain their views, people were less likely to want to give a bonus payment to a relevant advocacy group.

Interestingly, Fernbach and his co-authors found no increase in moderation when they asked people not to “describe all the details you know” about the likely effects of the various proposals, but simply to say why they believe what they do. If you ask people to give reasons for their beliefs, they tend to act as their own lawyers or public relations managers, and they don’t move toward greater moderation. The lesson is subtle: What produces an increase in humility, and hence moderation, is a request for an explanation of the causal mechanisms that underlie people’s beliefs.

In an unnoticed essay, the economist Albert Hirschman lamented the “overproduction of opinionated opinion.” He feared that strong opinions, as such, “might be dangerous to the health of our democracy,” because they can make it harder for people to understand one another and to find mutually agreeable solutions.

If Fernbach and his co-authors are to be believed, the problem is curable — at least if those who have “opinionated opinions” have less than solid foundations for their beliefs and if they can be convinced of that fact.

For wing nuts and their many fellow travelers, however, there is a serious obstacle, and it goes by the name of “motivated reasoning.” When people have a strong emotional attachment to their initial convictions, they tend to heap ridicule on anything that runs counter to those convictions and to give a lot of weight to anything that supports them.

Motivated reasoning helps to account for two defining characteristics of wing nuts and their fellow travelers: a readiness to attack people’s good faith, rather than their actual arguments, and an eagerness to make the worst, rather than the best, of opposing positions.

If Fernbach and his co-authors are right, this obstacle may not be insuperable. Serious efforts to examine the assumptions behind your own beliefs, and to identify what you don’t know, are likely to produce an increase in humility. Whether or not you change your view, you may well be humbled — and end up being a bit more charitable to those who see things differently.

Sunstein, the Robert Walmsley University Professor at Harvard Law School, is a Bloomberg View columnist. He is the former administrator of the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, the co-author of Nudge and author of Simpler: The Future of Government. He can be reached at csunstei@law.harvard.edu.

Reframing conflicts with questions.  In this case, when the conflict involves a position where the best available data points in the opposite direction, rather than ask why, ask for a detailed explanation of all that you know about this position, including the causal sequence.  Valuable idea.

Monday, May 27, 2013

Political Utility of IRS Story
It appears the Obama’sAttorney General may have signed off on the search warrant targeting Fox News correspondent, James Rosen.  Rosen and twenty reporters at AP had their records seized as a part of an investigation into the leak of national security secrets.  Of the three scandals animating Fox News at this moment, this one is actually troubling.  But more attention is being paid to the other two scandals, for reasons that have little to do with the presenting conflict themselves.  We keep hearing about Benghazi more because it is a pre-emptive strike as a potential Hillary presidential run.   

We are hearing even more about the IRS ‘scandal,’ for at least two other reasons, again rooted less in the presenting conflict itself.  First, any story about hating the intrusive IRS sells the Republican brand, particularly its Tea Party wing.  Second, as buried in an NYT story, making the IRS story salient is a lot more about dampening IRS enforcement of campaign laws in 2014 than it is about what is turning out to be a very mild and complicated illustration of what might be over-reach.

Explaining the second reason requires two steps.  First, as we unpack the presenting conflict and look at the details that do not drive headlines it turns out that some, perhaps many or most, of these Tea Party groups were, in fact, violating campaign finance laws.  This means failing to target them for additional scrutiny would have been a dereliction of duty, not the reverse storyline currently dominating the news.  As this fuller version of the story unfolds, we can then see the following:

“‘Money is not the only thing that matters,’ said Donald B. Tobin, a former lawyer with the Justice Department’s tax division who is a law professor at Ohio State University. ‘While some of the I.R.S. questions may have been overbroad, you can look at some of these groups and understand why these questions were being asked.’

The stakes are high for both the I.R.S. and lawmakers in Congress, whose election fortunes next year will hinge in no small part on a flood of political spending by such advocacy groups. They are often favored by strategists and donors not for the tax benefits — they typically not do have significant income subject to tax — but because they do not have to reveal their donors, allowing them to pour hundreds of millions of dollars into elections without disclosing where the money came from.

The I.R.S. is already separately reviewing roughly 300 tax-exempt groups that may have engaged in improper campaign activity in past years, according to agency planning documents. Some election lawyers said they believed a wave of lawsuits against the I.R.S. and intensifying Congressional criticism of its handling of applications were intended in part to derail those audits, giving political nonprofit organizations a freer hand during the 2014 campaign.”

It appears that the Tea Party groups under scrutiny did not fully understand the relevant legal regulations.  Given what we know about these groups, is that a surprise to anyone?  Or does it surprise anyone that Fox News might go so far as to undermine national security if it created an opportunity to damage President Obama? 

So, it should not be a surprise to anyone that, once we learn more about these conflicts, we discover that the presenting conflict is not the real story.  Beneath it we find a deeper conflict being advanced by amplifying a particular perspective on the presenting conflict.  Seeing this struggle over the scope and salience of individual conflicts is a key to understanding politics.

Sunday, May 26, 2013

Daily Show gets it right again
Jon Stewart roasts the president for both weakening freedom of the press and the rule of law while demonstrating hypocrisy by claiming to value freedom of the press and the rule of law and targetting 'pot heads and hackers' for extreme punishment while failing to target those responsible for more serious harms.  Right on target.

Then in his second segment he explains that the IRS targeting right wing groups is the most serious scandal and "the only unfair thing ever."  A great segment.  Political correctness and profiling are wrong, right?

The Daily Show and the Colbert Report continue to be just about the best political commentary available in the form of daily news. 



Minimum Wage
President Obama wants to raise the minimum wage to $9 an hour.  Sherrod Brown wants to raise it to $10.10 an hour.  Currently the federal minimum wage is $7.25.  The minimum wage in Ohio is $7.85 an hour right now.  Sperling’s cost of living calculator describes Akron as well below the cost of living in most of the country.  Sperling estimates costs in Akron to be housing (30%), food (15%), transportation (10%), utilities (6%), health care (7%), clothing and misc (32%).

At $10.10 an hour, working all 260 working days a year for a full 8-hour day, I would earn a total of $21,008.

Using this admittedly rough estimate, if we stick with the starting rental rate, this would mean the following:
Total income = $21,008
Federal taxes = 2,719
State taxes = $630 (@ 3%)
Akron taxes = $420 (@ 2%)
Leaving $17,239

Based on $17,239, with nothing into savings or retirement and no illness or vacation:

Housing = 5,171 ($431/month for rent and utilities)
Transportation = 1,723 ($144/month)
Food = 2,586 ($216/month)
Health Care = 1,206 ($100/month)
Clothing etc = 5,516 ($460/month)

The rental costs seem lower than I would feel comfortable living in.  Transportation costs are lower than the cost of owning a car with a payment, but perhaps do-able in another way.  Food clothing/misc are in the ballpark.  Health care seems low….  And these are the numbers for the proposed increase to $10.10/hour.  Very tight with no room for error or hardship or unanticipated costs.
 

Friday, May 24, 2013


Love this New Coke Ad
We are pretty naive if we think, as rugged individuals, we can take on the billions spent by highly educated Madison Avenue advertisers and PR experts without a plan, without figuring out how our information system works, without working together and being willing to take risks.
 


Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Coates on Obama Commencement Addresses

Ta-Nehisi Coates made the following argument on his blog yesterday.  Coates is one of the best and I learn a lot from his analysis.  Here, I hope respectfully, I find some areas of disagreement to explore.  What follows is his blog, in it's entirety, with my comments added in [brackets].  It is possible that I am misunderstanding the arguments below, and if so I hope to learn to think through these more productively. 

[Coates begins here] The first lady went to Bowie State and addressed the graduating class. Her speech was a mix of black history and a salute to the graduates. There was also this:

But today, more than 150 years after the Emancipation Proclamation, more than 50 years after the end of "separate but equal," when it comes to getting an education, too many of our young people just can't be bothered. Today, instead of walking miles every day to school, they're sitting on couches for hours playing video games, watching TV. Instead of dreaming of being a teacher or a lawyer or a business leader, they're fantasizing about being a baller or a rapper.

And then this:

If the school in your neighborhood isn't any good, don't just accept it. Get in there, fix it. Talk to the parents. Talk to the teachers. Get business and community leaders involved as well, because we all have a stake in building schools worthy of our children's promise. ...

And as my husband has said often, please stand up and reject the slander that says a black child with a book is trying to act white. Reject that.

There's a lot wrong here.

At the most basic level, there's nothing any more wrong with aspiring to be a rapper than there is with aspiring to be a painter, or an actor, or a sculptor. Hip-hop has produced some of the most penetrating art of our time, and inspired much more. My path to this space began with me aspiring to be rapper. Hip-hop taught me to love literature. I am not alone. Perhaps you should not aspire to be a rapper because it generally does not provide a stable income. By that standard you should not aspire to be a writer, either.

[The First Lady’s point seems to be that too many of our children aspire to a too narrow range of glamorous-seeming, but usually not attainable, careers.  Her point is to expand our imaginations and dreams…and link these to focusing on education, so concluding that her standard would exclude aspiring to be a writer seems an unfair read.]

At a higher level, there is the time-honored pattern of looking at the rather normal behaviors of black children and pathologizing them. My son wants to play Bayern Munich. Failing that, he has assured me he will be Kendrick Lamar. When I was kid I wanted to be Tony Dorsett -- or Rakim, whichever came first. Perhaps there is some corner of the world where white kids desire to be Timothy Geithner instead of Tom Brady. But I doubt it. What is specific to black kids is that our dreams often don't extend past athletics. That is a direct result of the limited cultural exposure you find in impoverished, segregated neighborhoods. Those neighborhoods are the direst result of American policy.

[‘Pathologizing’ seems overly dramatic, as a read of the quotes provided here. You are correct, at least based on my own experience as one white kid, that it would never have occurred to me to aspire to be a cabinet member, but I did want to be lots of things, at different times, ranging from a baseball star (from birth to the present) to baseball commissioner (would still not turn it down), a supreme court justice, or an FBI agent, among other things.  I ended up becoming a teacher.  You then add: ‘What is specific to black kids is that our dreams often don't extend past athletics. That is a direct result of the limited cultural exposure you find in impoverished, segregated neighborhoods. Those neighborhoods are the direst result of American policy.’  And this seems entirely consistent with the First Lady’s point:  our children, perhaps even more so our black children (if I had to guess what she might be thinking in the quoted text), have artificially truncated expectations for themselves, they would be better prepared to succeed if they dreamt more broadly.  Given how you describe it, your quarrel seems to be that she is speaking to individuals, about individual behavior and expectations. While you want to focus on structures and policy that make the desired behaviors and expectations more difficult to achieve for some.  This is a good and important question.  But that does not erase the value of other questions.  Why is it that speaking to individuals about individual behavior (while admittedly as partial as only focusing on structural factors in the quoted First Lady comments, though not in the quote comments from the president below) ‘pathologizing’ rather than an effort to mentor and guide these individuals in their efforts to find ways to succeed in their one short life, with structures changing much more slowly overtime?]

Enacting and enforcing policy is the job of the Obama White House. When asked about policy for African Americans, the president has said, "I'm not the president of black America. I'm the president of all America." An examination of the Obama administration's policy record toward black people clearly bears this out. An examination of the Obama administration's rhetoric, as directed at black people, tells us something different.

[This strikes me as a misplaced disagreement about policy.  You wish that the president had successfully passed policies that addressed some of the structural and policy-related factors that account for what you call ‘the limited cultural exposure you find in impoverished, segregated neighborhoods.’  I agree.  But the president might respond that his policy agenda will help black kids more.  I would not agree with the president entirely, but I would also not, on the basis of this policy disagreement, conclude that the best read of the First Lady’s comments is that she is pathologizing.  Unless you are suggesting that merely mentioning behavior is to pathologize.  Your reframing to focus ONLY on structure has the same weakness: it is a partial view and alone is insufficient to address the challenge that these graduates will face today.]

Yesterday, the president addressed Morehouse College's graduating class, and said this: 

We know that too many young men in our community continue to make bad choices. Growing up, I made a few myself. And I have to confess, sometimes I wrote off my own failings as just another example of the world trying to keep a black man down. But one of the things you've learned over the last four years is that there's no longer any room for excuses. I understand that there's a common fraternity creed here at Morehouse: "excuses are tools of the incompetent, used to build bridges to nowhere and monuments of nothingness."

We've got no time for excuses -- not because the bitter legacies of slavery and segregation have vanished entirely; they haven't. Not because racism and discrimination no longer exist; that's still out there. It's just that in today's hyper-connected, hyper-competitive world, with a billion young people from China and India and Brazil entering the global workforce alongside you, nobody is going to give you anything you haven't earned. And whatever hardships you may experience because of your race, they pale in comparison to the hardships previous generations endured -- and overcame.

This clearly is a message that only a particular president can offer. Perhaps not the "president of black America," but certainly a president who sees holding African Americans to a standard of individual responsibility as part of his job. This is not a role Barack Obama undertakes with other communities.

[True.  He is reaching out to one particular community.  And yes, this message will no doubt find welcome listeners among racist whites who have been pounding the ‘individual responsibility without attention to structure’ story for generations.  But the president does not overlook structure in the text you quote here.  He is arguing that structure and behavior are inseparable, as he does in nearly all of his speeches, but since his audience are individual graduates, his message to them focuses on what they can do, what they can control, as individuals operating within (and seeking to change) structures.]

Taking the full measure of the Obama presidency thus far, it is hard to avoid the conclusion that this White House has one way of addressing the social ills that afflict black people -- and particularly black youth -- and another way of addressing everyone else. I would have a hard time imagining the president telling the women of Barnard that "there's no longer room for any excuses" -- as though they were in the business of making them.

[But this was exactly the approach the president took when he spoke to Wall Street after the near economic collapse and to the NRA and when he talks about members of Congress he is negotiating with.  Your Barnard reference sounds unnecessarily contrived; there is no need to imagine him speaking to audiences other than young black men.  We can observe his frequent speeches to these audiences directly and see (mostly) the same presidential voice.  Is that the voice of a moderate?  Yes.  But it is inaccurate to argue he speaks like a moderate only to young black men, but you do raise many points worth thinking about.]

It's worth revisiting the president's comments over the past year in reference to gun violence. Visting his grieving adopted hometown of Chicago, in the wake of the murder of Hadiya Pendleton, the president said this: 

For a lot of young boys and young men in particular, they don't see an example of fathers or grandfathers, uncles, who are in a position to support families and be held up in respect. And so that means that this is not just a gun issue; it's also an issue of the kinds of communities that we're building. When a child opens fire on another child, there is a hole in that child's heart that government can't fill. Only community and parents and teachers and clergy can fill that hole.

Two months earlier Obama visited Newtown. The killer, Adam Lanza, was estranged from his father and reportedly devastated by his parents divorce. But Obama did not speak to Newtown about the kind of community they were building, or speculate on the hole in Adam Lanza's heart.

[You raise another interesting point here.  One the one hand, the president does frame the speech around praising Newtown for inspiring us, noting all the ways that teachers and students and others were heroic during the shooting.  But he also says this:

“It comes as a shock at a certain point where you realize no matter how much you love these kids, you can’t do it by yourself, that this job of keeping our children safe and teaching them well is something we can only do together, with the help of friends and neighbors, the help of a community and the help of a nation.  And in that way we come to realize that we bear responsibility for every child, because we’re counting on everybody else to help look after ours, that we’re all parents, that they are all our children.  This is our first task, caring for our children. It’s our first job. If we don’t get that right, we don’t get anything right. That’s how, as a society, we will be judged.  And by that measure, can we truly say, as a nation, that we’re meeting our obligations?”

And in saying this he is saying two things.  First, like no individual is an island, no community is an island…we as one nation, a national community, need to pay attention to the types of communities we are building.  And second, that the violence in this one community ought to be seen by all Americans as a violent cancer striking at all of our communities.  You are correct, however, that in the next section of the Newtown speech he does focus on ‘are we doing enough for our children?’ rather than on our behavioral expectations of these children.  But this can also be read as the president attempting to take up the policy positions we expect to address (some of) the structural limitations you focus on, concluding, with a return to behavior in the Newtown speech, that this means that ‘We must change.’]

When Barack Obama says that he is "the president of all America," he is exactly right. When he visits black communities, he visits as the American president, bearing with him all our history, all our good works, and all our sins. Among recent sins, the creation of the ghettos of Chicago-- accomplished by 20th-century American social policy -- rank relatively high. Leaving aside the vague connection between fatherhood and the murder of Hadiya Pendleton. Certainly the South Side could use more responsible fathers. Why aren't there more? Do those communities simply lack men of ambition or will? Are the men there genetically inferior?

No president has ever been better read on the intersection of racism and American history than our current one. I strongly suspect that he would point to policy. As the president of "all America," Barack Obama inherited that policy. I would not suggest that it is in his power to singlehandedly repair history. But I would say that, in his role as American president, it is wrong for him to handwave at history, to speak as though the government he represents is somehow only partly to blame. Moreover, I would say that to tout your ties to your community when it is convenient, and downplay them when it isn't, runs counter to any notion of individual responsibility.

[The words of his that you quote do not strike me as a ‘handwave at history.’]

I think the stature of the Obama family -- the most visible black family in American history -- is a great blow in the war against racism. I am filled with pride whenever I see them: there is simply no other way to say that. I think Barack Obama, specifically, is a remarkable human being -- wise, self-aware, genuinely curious and patient. It takes a man of particular vision to know, as Obama did, that the country really was ready to send an African American to the White House.

But I also think that some day historians will pore over his many speeches to black audiences. They will see a president who sought to hold black people accountable for their communities, but was disdainful of those who looked at him and sought the same. And then they will match that rhetoric of individual responsibility with the aggression the administration showed to bail out the banks, and the timidity they showed  in addressing a foreclosuer crisis which devastated black America (again.) And they will match the rhetoric with an administration whose efforts against housing segregation have been run of the mill.  And they will match the talk of the importance of black fathers with the paradox of a president who smoked marijuana in his youth but continued a drug-war which daily wrecks the lives of black men. I think those historians will see a discomfiting pattern of convenient race-talk.

[In terms of my own disagreements with the president on the issues you raise here, my positions are closer to yours.  However, ‘a president who sought to hold black people accountable for their communities, but was disdainful of those who looked at him and sought the same,’ seems to ignore the political realities that you mention earlier about ‘singlehandedly repairing history.’  I think history will judge this president far differently that you outline here.  I expect that he will be recognized in ways he is not today for his wisdom and patience, intelligence and desire to help all American families in times of great crisis.]

I think the president owes black people more than this. In the 2012 election, the black community voted at a higher rate than any other ethnic community in the country. Their vote went almost entirely to Barack Obama. I think they deserve more than a sermon. Perhaps they cannot  practically receive targeted policy. But surely they have earned something more than targeted scorn.

[On the one hand, I choose not to focus on our disagreement here because I am not black, so I will take your perspective here to heart and reflect on it over time to find a way for me to integrate it into my own thinking.  At the same time, I do not read the president or First Lady as directing scorn, but rather as speaking as parents for the nation to children they are particularly concerned about.  Their advice focuses only on what the child can control: his or her behavior.  It recognizes larger structural issues, but chooses to help the child find an individual pathway to safety and success while we all struggle to figure out how to address structure and policy.]


Threats to Democracy at Home and Abroad
EJ Dionne from the Washington Post hits a topic that should be important to each of us: the future of democracy itself, which is under assault around the world including here at home from a far-right insistent on obstructionism to prevent problem solving because they do not like the idea of government at all. See previous blog on Mann and Ornstein's work, which, along with the reports cited below, would be a great summer reading list.  Add to that Schattschneider's Semisovereign People and you will begin to understand the otherwise frustratingly confusing political spectacle today.
“We know American politics are dysfunctional. But after a week of scandal obsession during which the nation’s capital and the media virtually ignored the problems most voters care about — jobs, incomes, growth, opportunity, education — it’s worth asking if there is something especially flawed about our democracy.
Our circumstances certainly have their own particular disabilities: a radicalization of conservative politics, over-the-top mistrust of President Obama on the right, high-tech gerrymandering in the House, and a Senate snarled by non-constitutional supermajority requirements. [Citizens United inviting money to drown discourse]
Still, while it may not be much of a comfort, the democratic distemper is not a peculiarly American phenomenon. Across most of the democratic world, there is an impatience bordering on exhaustion with electoral systems and political classes.
Citizen dissatisfaction is hardly surprising in the wake of a deeply damaging economic downturn. That doesn’t make the challenge any less daunting. We should consider whether democracy itself is in danger of being discredited. Politicians might usefully disentangle themselves from their day-to-day power struggles long enough to take seriously their responsibility to a noble idea and the systems that undergird it.
It’s not hard to discover that this conundrum is global and not just our own. “Has democracy had its day?” is the headline on Columbia University historian Mark Mazower’s cover story in the May issue of Prospect, a British magazine. The subhead: “Electoral politics has had a bad decade.”
Earlier this month, the Transatlantic Academy, a global partnership of think tanks led by the German Marshall Fund of the United States, issued “The Democratic Disconnect,” a sober report by a group of distinguished academics.
“Democracy is in trouble,” the report begins. “The collective engagement of a concerned citizenry for the public good — the bedrock of a healthy democracy — is eroding. Democratic governments often seem crippled in their capacity to deliver what their people want and need. They are neither as responsive nor as accountable as they need to be in an era of hard choices and rising nondemocratic powers. There is widespread concern about apparent declining rates of voter participation and about the alienation or disaffection of citizens from the political process.”
In Europe, the authors noted, “there is fear that the distance between ordinary citizens and the politicians and bureaucrats in Brussels compromises democratic legitimacy.” In the United States, “lamentations about gridlock and polarization are the order of the day.” Even our peaceable neighbor Canada is not immune. “Canadians,” they write, “worry about the tendency of their political system to place largely unaccountable power in the hands of the prime minister.”
The report does include some useful suggestions for reviving the democratic spirit and improving democratic practice. But it is not alarmist to be uneasy about democracy’s prospects. Ernst Hillebrand, the head of international policy analysis for the Friedrich Ebert Foundation, the German Social Democratic Party’s think tank, describes a chilling finding in a 2009 survey by the German polling firm Forsa: “that 0 percent — yes, zero percent — of workers in Germany believe they can have a significant impact on how policy in Germany is shaped via the ballot box.”
And bear in mind that a poll released last week by the Pew Global Attitudes Project found that Germans are far more satisfied with their country’s situation than are their European neighbors.
In a conversation last week during a visit to Washington, Hillebrand pointed to two streams of discontent the world’s democracies face. One is material. The other might be called spiritual.
On the one side, large numbers of lower-middle-class and working-class voters have seen their economic standing deteriorate over two or three decades. There has been a substantial transfer of wealth and income from labor — which is how most people pay their way — to capital. Productivity gains no longer lead to wage gains. This builds justified frustration. [because, translated into common language, that means that working harder and smarter is no longer a road to success]
At the same time, he says, many citizens, especially the young, have enhanced expectations for “participation, self-realization and control over their lives.” They do not see current electoral arrangements in the democracies giving them much chance to achieve any of these goals.
Since World War II, bouts of economic growth have allowed the democracies to buy their way out of trouble. One can hope this will happen again — and soon. In the meantime, politicians might contemplate their obligations to stewardship of the democratic ideal. They could begin by pondering what an unemployed 28-year-old makes of a ruling elite that expends so much energy feuding over how bureaucrats rewrote a set of talking points.”
 
 
 

 

Sunday, May 19, 2013

Benghazi, IRS and Wikipedia
David Ignatius suggests a penetrating analysis in the way he frames this story about the Benghazi conflict, but he only partially delivers.  Still worth a read because he does highlight an angle on the story that is likely both important and overlooked because overlooking it is important to elite leaders of both parties.

Ignatius starts with this…

“The 100 pages of Benghazi emails released last week tell us almost nothing about how four Americans came to die so tragically in that Libyan city. But they are a case study in why nothing works in Washington.
Rather than reading these messages for their substance on Benghazi (on which officials were still basically clueless three days after the attack), try perusing them as an illustration of how the bureaucracy responds to crisis — especially when officials know they will be under the media spotlight.”
Susan Rice, President Obama’s UN Ambassador whose appointment as Secretary of State was derailed by the political firestorm surrounding her comments, turns out to be just the presenting conflict, the pretext upon which the deeper conflicts about governance in the mass media era, where there are enormous pressures to govern to win elections rather than the reverse, and the skilled (if cowardly) efforts to distract us from these important questions by focusing public anger and attention on the presenting conflict—designed to be so convoluted and outrageous that we throw up our hands in frustration and walk away from the conversation because is it ‘just politics.’  Ignatius closes with…

“At the bottom of the stack of message traffickers is the office of U.N. Ambassador Susan Rice, who is appointed to deliver the talking points on the Sunday talk shows. And then, as we know, the Benghazi imbroglio really begins."

Elites using conflicts to advance their positions on deeper, less visible, sometimes procedural or technocratic or symbolic conflicts is nothing new.  It frequently involves finding a news story and transforming it into a conflict that can be used, just as a skilled bullshitter works with the truth to communicate a misleading message designed to disguise the fact that the storyteller is a phony, misrepresenting his intentions.   

An AP story about the IRS is starting to get interesting today, just as angry interest amplified by the phony story appears to be receding.  Here is how AP starts it story…

“There’s an irony in the Internal Revenue Service’s crackdown on conservative groups.
The nation’s tax agency has admitted to inappropriately scrutinizing smaller tea party organizations that applied for tax-exempt status, and senior Treasury Department officials were notified in the midst of the 2012 presidential election season that an internal investigation was under way.
But the IRS largely maintained a hands-off policy with the much larger, big-budget organizations on the left and right that were most influential in the elections and are organized under a section of the tax code that allows them to hide their donors.”
It is worth reading, but here is one stray fact that caught my eye today…

“Despite the bipartisan outcry over the IRS scandal, there’s little incentive for lawmakers on either side of the aisle to push for reforms because Republicans and Democrats alike benefit from these big outside groups.
In fact, just the opposite may be happening.
Some congressional Democrats, fearful of being tied to the scandal, are backing the push for more aggressive enforcement of these groups. And some conservative leaders and Republican donors are using the IRS scandal to help protect the status quo while preparing to pump hundreds of millions of dollars — raised anonymously in many cases with no contribution limits — into the next election cycle, just as they did last fall.
‘I would hope that this new information about the politicization of the IRS should put the brakes on any sort of disclosure of donors who wish to remain anonymous,’ said Charlie Spies, who helps raise money for several conservative organizations and previously led the super political action committee that raised more than $140 million to benefit Mitt Romney’s presidential bid. ‘We’re now seeing exactly what the risk is for donors to be disclosed.’”
Finally, here is an interesting read, but disturbing story, about how Wikipedia works (or does not always work so well) from Salon, digging beneath presenting conflicts to begin to show us what is going on behind the scenes, where the capillaries of power cast a wide net.

Saturday, May 18, 2013

The System
Of course there is no single system, but that does not change the fact that sometimes institutional or ideological factors significantly impact our lives and our capacity to understand, debate, thrive.  For instance, we know that people just like you and I, when born into extreme poverty, are extremely unlikely to be able to fight their way out of the chains, no matter how hard they work.  And that the situations we are locked into are ripe with extra penalties built in: cheaper food is less nutrious, cheaper housing is less safe, when coping mechanisms turn deviant in poorer communities these behaviors are targeted for extreme punishment that is uncommon as a response to the most common forms of deviance in affluent communities.  The place one is locked into is itself criminalized. So, this cartoon caught my eye today.





 When we consider the current sexual assault problem in the US military, for instance, we are not suggesting that every soldier, or even most, are violent sociopaths.  We can respect their service and value national defense by focusing our attention on systems, institutions, including in this case the institutional culture that has developed in the military to encourage, condone, ignore, and protect perpetrators of sexual misconduct.  Yes, individual agency matters and cannot be overlooked, but when we see a particular behavior so highly concentrated within one context, culture, institution, system, we cannot understand (or remedy) this situation with a lens that narrows our vision to only individual behavior.
 
 

 
Similarly, the 'imperial executive' has been a problem for generations, dating at least back to Nixon's Watergate, Reagan's Iran-Contra, Clinton and W.  This systematic and institutional and culture problem was not resolved when the individual resigned (Nixon) or we did not find a smoking gun (Reagan) or his term expired.  Of course, other institutional and behavioral factors must be considered (see earlier blogs on Mann and Ornstein's book), including the profound dysfunction of Congress, but we are naive if we think this systematic problem will be repaired by defeating, or even systematically obfuscating, President Obama. 


By the way...always looking for great political cartoonists!  Suggestions?

Thursday, May 16, 2013

Sometimes I just want to read a novel or watch a movie...
"We all share the burden and the privilege of constructing a life."  I no longer remember who said that.  It was a speaker at my brother's graduation, a poet I think.  And it is possible that I have inadvertantly altered the quote over the years.  Regardless, it still speaks to me about the struggle and celebration we all share.  And sometimes embracing this struggle is itself a challenge. :)











Talk Radio
Reading an essay from Consider the Lobster where David Foster Wallace, with his usual penetrating style, argues that "one of the more plausible comprehensive theories is that political talk radio is one of several important 'galvanzing venues' for the US right....a kind of electronic town hall meeting where passions can be inflamed and arguments honed under the loquacious tutelage of the hosts" (288). 



As DFW points out this lens has the advantage of not assuming what must be demonstrated.  Rather than define talk radio as systematic disinformation, effectively dismissing alternative perspectives and silencing debates, this frame defines it in a way that allows for us to examine it with an open mind.  I do not like Limbaugh or Hannity and their ilk, but (again, agreeing with DFW) I like less comparing them to Hitler.  In fact, that is one of their techniques I despise most because it undermines political communication and democratic deliberation needed to learn by observing the consequences of our actions and improve our polity.



DFW also argues that this frame helps us better understand why the "energy" in American politics is on the right today.  One option DFW considers, that I think worth considering, is that talk radio today is "a wildly successful strategy for bringing a large group of like-minded citizens together, uniting them in a coherent set of simple ideas, energizing them, and inciting them to political action."  He compares this to the energy-edge the US left enjoyed in the 1960s.

Wallace further argues (290) that "whatever the social effects of talk radio or the partisan agendas of certain hosts, it is a fallacy that political talk radio is motivated by ideology.  It is not.  Political talk radio is a business, and it is motivated by revenue."

My first thought was 'capitalism is an ideology,' but this dismisses his point without considering its analytical value.  DFW is pointing out that Air America failed because it did not produce revenue.  This is a very different conclusion than it failed because the right shouted it down or that citizens have been duped or that citizen perspectives have been gradually moved to the right. 

Talk radio is a product, designed to sell advertising, that also happens to sell the idea (the world view) that commerce is the unifying theory, the consumer is king, and the market free from government interference is the source of individual liberty.  But if it did not sell advertising by attracting audiences it could not also saturate communication channels with bullshit until the mere repetition of the bullshit compels mainstream media outlets to pick up the story. 

The addition of its commercial prowess to the explanation for talk radio matters and operates at least quasi-independently from the explanatory value of its selling of a particular perspective on the role of government.

After all these years, and with no disrespect to my disciplinary colleagues, I am still amazed and surprised and delighted when I experience again the joy of learning a lot about politics and power from English professors.  I have not finished this final essay in Consider the Lobster yet, but I both look forward to leanring more and I am sad that this will be the end of a great, great collection of essays.  Many thanks to my brother Tom, one of the most intelligent men I know, for recommending this collection and buying it for me.



Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Good Question EJ
How Long will Congress Accept Slow-motion Mass murder?
3,947 gun deaths since Newtown
dionne14cut

MILWAUKEE: Public officials are very selective about when violence and death matter.

Massacres and terrorist incidents cannot be ignored, but the day-to-day toll from gun violence is often swept aside. Politicians who tout themselves as advocates of law and order don’t want to be unmasked as caring even more about their ratings from gun lobbyists.

And opponents of the most moderate gun reforms engage in a shameless game of bait-and-switch. Because measures such as background checks would not stop every murder, they’re declared useless even though they’d still save lives. Then the gun lobby turns around and opposes other measures, such as a ban on high-capacity magazines, which could prevent some of the killings that background checks might not.

The lack of coherence doesn’t bother those who are willing to tolerate all manner of violence to keep the gun business free of inconvenient restraints. Their goal is to exhaust supporters of sane gun laws and get them to give up until the next big tragedy strikes.

Mayor Tom Barrett of Milwaukee has never given up and never given in. One of the earliest members of Mayors Against Illegal Guns, the group spearheaded by New York’s Michael Bloomberg and Boston’s Tom Menino, he has made curbing urban bloodshed a personal cause.

Every year between Mother’s Day and Memorial Day, he organizes a “Cease-Fire Sabbath” that enlists clergy around the city to preach against violence. “The ministers and other clergy can reach people that I can’t,” Barrett said in an interview in his office last week. Here’s a faith-based initiative that everyone can believe in.

Barrett has paid a price for his steadfastness on guns. In his rematch last year against Republican Gov. Scott Walker in Wisconsin’s recall election (he lost to Walker in 2010), gun groups spent more than $800,000 to defeat him. Such sums are designed to have a chilling effect on other politicians who might take on the gun lobby. “It hasn’t chilled me,” Barrett says with a smile, “but obviously I’m not the governor.”

Since late last year, Barrett has made the case for extending background checks to online and private purchases as well as gun show sales by pulling out a large cardboard blow-up of a request sent through an online gun market on Oct. 20, 2011.

It reads in part: “Looking for a handgun that is $300obo or best offer. … Looking to buy asap. … Prefer full size. Prefer .45, .40. … I constantly check my emails. …. Also I’m hoping it has a high mag capacity. … I’m a serious buyer so please email me asap. Have cash now and looking to buy now. I am mobile.”

As The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel reported, the ad was posted by Radcliffe Haughton days after his wife Zina Haughton “was granted a four-year restraining order against her husband because she said she feared for her life.”

“The couple had a volatile relationship,” the paper explained. “Police had been to their Brown Deer, Wis., home on 20 different occasions. These red flags should not have been ignored, but they were.”
The day after the ad went up, Radcliffe Haughton gunned down Zina and two other women at the Azana Salon & Spa in Brookfield, Wis.

The Journal-Sentinel noted (and Barrett also makes this point) that Radcliffe Haughton “may well have found another way to get a gun. But that doesn’t mean that such legislation would not keep guns out of the hands of others who buy them every year without undergoing a background check.”

The slaughter in Newtown decisively shifted the nation’s discussion on guns, and Barrett says he’s still hopeful that a background check bill will eventually pass. The law is needed, he said, not just because of gruesomely spectacular killings but also to stop “what my police chief calls slow-motion mass murders in the cities around our country.”

But can the politics be overcome? At a recent talk at Georgetown University, former President Bill Clinton spoke of how politicians draw warnings from past political fights even when those lessons have become obsolete. He used the analogy of the cat that gets burned on a hot stove, and will never jump on the stove again, even after the stove has cooled.

As of May 8, according to Slate magazine, there had been at least 3,947 gun deaths since Newtown. The political heat is now coming from those who have lost patience with slow-motion mass murders. Will Congress notice the temperature change?

EJ Dionne is a Washington Post columnist. He can be emailed at ejdionne@washpost.com

Sunday, May 12, 2013

Mother's Day 2013
Neither words nor pictures (thanks Hallmark) can avoid feeling over-wrought on Mother's Day. The impulse to try to say something on that one day that might capture all that our mother's mean to us is, frankly, both doomed to fail and, too often, a reminder of all the ways we could've done more to show our moms how much they mean to us on the other 364 days again this year.


My Mom & Dad joined us for a trip to Ireland and, in the restaurant on top of the Guiness Brewery in Dublin, posed with my Guiness!  This is one of my all-time favorite pictures, because Mom does not drink and does laugh like no other.  No one I know is more serious about trying to be the best person she can be (Dad is a close second, but this is Mother's Day) and yet Mom is always ready to laugh, including laughing at herself.  I love that.


Lori came up from Florida and Tom had us all to his place in NYC for Thanksgiving this past year.  Ray and Amanda brought Cecelia and Colton to spend some time with their 'big cousins' Brian and Casey.  Found some amazing dumplings in Chinatown, a short walk over the bridge from their apartment.  Annie was totally cool as a city dog.


This is one of my favorite pictures of both of my parents.  They look so completely happy and content and at ease and satisfied.  Perfect.


These two make each other, and the rest of us, laugh in the most life-affirming ways.  In both of these pictures, you can see it on their faces. 



And no mother's day reflections would be complete without a shout out to Julie.  She showed me, from the other side of the parent-sibling relationship, and in her relationship with me, how to love.  After my own mother and father, I have never seen anyone so consistently and thoughtfully put her children first in all ways, at all times, cheerfully and because her love is that deep.

Friday, May 10, 2013


Jay-Smooth, Aisha Harris and Ta-Nehisi Coates
On Auto-Tuning and Charles Ramsey
Racial conflict and controversy is not new, particularly not in America.  But usually the conflict starts out ugly, invites denial and gets uglier, creating more confusion, more heat than light.  The conflict and controversy surrounding the heroism of Charles Ramsey in Cleveland (already got t-shirts with his face on them) includes this familiar pattern-by-design but also has so much more, making it worth a closer examination.  Coates brings together three great voices doing just that. 
The video is, well, smooth and thoughtful and easy to digest.  Accessible and smart, as we expect from Jay-Smooth.  Thanks to Coates for reposting it along with his own thoughts and the link to Harris for some data.  Thanks Julie for introducing me to Coates a while back! 
Also, check out other Jay-Smooth videos as well. 
You can also listen to one of Charles Ramsey’s initial interviews for yourself: a real life hero who happens to love Big Macs.  It is very hard not to love this guy.  Thanks Charles Ramsey for being yourself...a leader in your own life and now a publicly acclaimed hero.
Joanna Weiss (Boston Globe) also provides a commentary on all of this that is worth reading.